Highlights of Second Quarter Review of Monetary Policy (27th October, 2009)

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Highlights of Second Quarter Review of Monetary Policy (27th October, 2009)

·         RBI keeps FY10 GDP forecast at 6% with upside bias; sees modest decline in agriculture.

·         Baseline projection for WPI inflation at end-March 2010 is placed at 6.5% with an upside bias. This is higher than the 5% projected in July.

·         RBI says that the Indian economy has begun to stabilise despite falling exports and poor monsoon.

·         RBI says that the services sector growth is still below trend; Industrial performance has improved markedly.

·         RBI says a promising rabi crop prospects will reduce food price pressures.

·         RBI says that bank credit growth remains sluggish; urges banks to step up credit expansion efforts.

·         RBI lowers FY10 adjusted non-food credit growth projection to 18% from 20%.

·         RBI lowers 09/10 money supply growth projection to 17% from 18%.

·         RBI says collateralised borrowing and lending obligation (CBLO) to come under CRR from Nov 21.

·         RBI says no increase in hold to maturity (HTM) cap for banks as the limit is already higher than SLR.

·         RBI says to raise statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) back to 25% from Nov. 7.

·         RBI says there is a critical need to lower Govt borrowing to help sustain moderate rate regime.

·         RBI says transmission of lower policy rates to the credit market has materialised with a lag.

·         RBI says evidence of excess liquidity feeding into asset prices with potential financial stability concerns.

·         RBI says the first phase of exit from easy policy begins with ending of some special liquidity steps.