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Highlights of Economic Survey 2012-13 (Presented in Parliament on 27/02/2013 by Finance Minister P Chidambaram)  


by

 

Rajesh Goyal

 

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Economic Survey is presented every year,  just before the Union Budget.    This survey is a flagship annual document of the Ministry of Finance, Government of India as it reviews the developments in the Indian economy over the previous 12 months. It summarizes the performance on major development programmes, and highlights the policy initiatives of the government and the prospects of the economy in the short to medium term. It also serves as an indicator of what is likely to be contained in the General Budget proposals

 

The economic survey for 2012-13 was prepared by a team of economists led by Chief Economic Advisor Raghuram Rajan and presented in Parlilament by FM on 27th February, 2013.  The survey pitches for speeding up economic reforms to activate a sluggish economy. .

 

Major Highlights of the Economic Survey 2012-13 are summed up below:

• GDP growth seen at 6.1-6.7 percent in  FY 2013-14
• Government’s  target for fiscal deficit is 4.8 pct of GDP in  FY 2013-14
• Government target for fiscal deficit is 3 pct of GDP by  2016-17
• Headline WPI inflation may decline to 6.2-6.6 pct by March 2013
• Focus on curbing imports, making oil prices more market determined to reign in current account deficit

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• Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) flows need to be targeted towards long-term rupee instruments
• Prioritisation of expenditure seen as key ingredient of credible medium-term fiscal consolidation plan
• Raising tax to GDP ratio to more than 11 percent seen as critical for sustaining fiscal consolidation
•  Room for accommodative monetary policy with expected fiscal consolidation
• India likely to meet fiscal deficit target of 5.3 pct of GDP in FY2012-13, despite significant shortfall in revenues
• Calls for curbing of gold imports to contain current account deficit
• Room to increase exports in the short run limited
• Industrial output seen growing around 3 pct in FY 2012-13
• Govt priority to fight inflation by reducing fiscal impetus to demand as well as by focusing on incentivizing food production.
• More jobs in low productivity construction sector
• Balance of Payments under pressure with net exports decline
• Service sector has shown more resilience despite global slowdown
• Survey pitches for hike in price of diesel and LPG to cut subsidy burden
• Railway freight grows by 5.1 per cent in 2012-13
• Foreign Exchange reserves remains steady at USD 295.6 Billion  (or USD 25960 crores) at December 2012 end.

 

At present, overall energy deficit is about 8.6 per cent and peak shortage of power is about 9 per cent.

 

Infrastructure bottlenecks  are affecting industrial sector performance

 

Prospects for world trade as well as of India are still uncertain.

 

Survey also pitches for further opening of sectors for FDI

 

 

 

 

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